Brentford vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
COL
4 - 1
BRE
22%
27%
52%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
MKD
2 - 2
BRE
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 0
PNE
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SWI
1 - 0
BRE
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 0
CRA
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
STE
3 - 2
WAL
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
STE
1 - 3
BRI
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
SHE
1 - 0
STE
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
STE
2 - 3
COL
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
STF
1 - 0
STE
39%
27%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |