Brentford vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
46.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
HIN
0 - 0
BRE
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
HUL
2 - 0
BRE
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2004 |
BRE
1 - 1
BRI
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
BRE
1 - 2
BRA
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
BRI
1 - 1
BRE
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
WYC
0 - 3
LUT
27%
23%
50%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
LUT
1 - 1
DON
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
MKD
1 - 4
LUT
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
SOU
0 - 3
LUT
33%
24%
43%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
LUT
5 - 1
WRE
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |