Premier League . Jor. 27

Brentford vs Chelsea analysis

Brentford Chelsea
90 ELO 94
2.8% Tilt 7.2%
46º General ELO ranking 20º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
31.4%
Brentford
25.2%
Draw
43.5%
Chelsea

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
Brentford
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43.5%
Win probability
Chelsea
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brentford
-4%
+6%
Chelsea

Points and table prediction

Brentford
Their league position
Chelsea
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
17º
16º
63
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Manchester City
91
91
100%
Arsenal
89
89
100%
Liverpool
82
82
100%
Aston Villa
68
68
100%
Tottenham Hotspur
66
66
100%
Chelsea
63
63
100%
Newcastle
60
60
0%
Manchester United
60
60
0%
West Ham
52
52
100%
Crystal Palace
10º
49
49
10º
100%
Brighton & Hove Albion
11º
48
48
11º
0%
Everton
15º
40
48
12º
0%
AFC Bournemouth
12º
48
48
13º
0%
Fulham
13º
47
47
14º
100%
Wolves
14º
46
46
15º
100%
Brentford
16º
39
39
16º
100%
Nottingham Forest
17º
32
36
17º
100%
Luton Town
18º
26
26
18º
100%
Burnley
19º
24
24
19º
100%
Sheffield United
20º
16
16
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Brentford
Chelsea
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Brentford
Chelsea
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brentford
Brentford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2024
WHU
West Ham
4 - 2
Brentford
BRE
53%
23%
24%
90 92 2 0
20 Feb. 2024
MAC
Manchester City
1 - 0
Brentford
BRE
85%
10%
5%
91 100 9 -1
17 Feb. 2024
BRE
Brentford
1 - 4
Liverpool
LIV
10%
18%
72%
90 100 10 +1
10 Feb. 2024
WOL
Wolves
0 - 2
Brentford
BRE
41%
26%
33%
90 90 0 0
05 Feb. 2024
BRE
Brentford
1 - 3
Manchester City
MAC
8%
17%
74%
90 100 10 0

Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2024
CHL
Chelsea
3 - 2
Leeds United
LEE
67%
20%
14%
94 87 7 0
25 Feb. 2024
CHL
Chelsea
0 - 1
Liverpool
LIV
10%
16%
75%
94 100 6 0
17 Feb. 2024
MAC
Manchester City
1 - 1
Chelsea
CHL
82%
12%
6%
94 100 6 0
12 Feb. 2024
CRY
Crystal Palace
1 - 3
Chelsea
CHL
24%
25%
51%
94 89 5 0
07 Feb. 2024
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 3
Chelsea
CHL
48%
24%
29%
93 93 0 +1
X