Brentford vs Bristol Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 1
TRA
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MKD
1 - 1
BRE
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2011 |
EXE
1 - 2
BRE
49%
24%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 0
PLY
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
DAG
4 - 1
BRE
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
BRO
1 - 0
OLD
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LEY
4 - 1
BRO
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
ROC
3 - 1
BRO
63%
21%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BRO
2 - 4
BHA
27%
28%
45%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
BRO
1 - 2
MKD
36%
26%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |