Breidablik vs KA Akureyri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
5º
3º
26
7º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 40 |
2º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 37 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 37 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 30 |
5º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 29 |
6º
|
5% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 29 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 28 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 27 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 25 |
10º
|
82% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 22 |
11º
|
81.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 46% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 54% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Breidablik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2025 |
BRE
0 - 1
LPO
50%
23%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
KRR
1 - 1
BRE
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
LPO
7 - 1
BRE
43%
23%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
BRE
1 - 0
VES
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
BRE
5 - 0
EGN
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
KA Akureyri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
KAA
2 - 3
SIF
18%
20%
62%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
SIF
1 - 1
KAA
71%
18%
12%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
KAA
2 - 0
IAA
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
FHH
5 - 0
KAA
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
KRR
1 - 2
KAA
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |