Bregalnica Štip vs Vardar Skopje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
12º
12º
37
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bregalnica Štip
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TIK
2 - 1
BRE
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 8
BRE
8%
16%
76%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 3
FCS
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VOK
2 - 0
BRE
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 0
AKP
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vardar Skopje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 2
GOS
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
BES
1 - 1
VAR
24%
22%
55%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 0
VAR
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 1
MAK
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 2
SIL
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |