Breda vs Tossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
72.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SGI
1 - 0
BRD
75%
14%
11%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BRD
0 - 3
FAR
48%
22%
30%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MAL
1 - 0
BRD
34%
21%
45%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
BRD
4 - 2
TOR
38%
22%
40%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 2
BRD
79%
13%
8%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TOS
3 - 0
CRI
65%
18%
18%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SGI
1 - 2
TOS
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TOS
3 - 2
CAL
64%
19%
18%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
TOS
4 - 2
TRL
80%
13%
8%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ANG
2 - 0
TOS
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |