Brea vs San Lorenzo Flumen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
TER
5 - 0
CFB
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CFB
1 - 4
ATL
16%
22%
62%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
LMU
7 - 1
CFB
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CFB
1 - 1
FRA
53%
23%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
GIN
5 - 1
CFB
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo Flumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
VIL
35%
24%
41%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ATC
3 - 1
SAN
55%
24%
22%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
ZUE
1 - 2
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
TER
22%
25%
53%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
3 - 0
SAN
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |