Brazil Juniors vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
27.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
BUB
5 - 0
BRA
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 9
BRI
46%
21%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
BRA
54%
21%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 2
NAC
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
DAK
4 - 0
BRA
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
DAK
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
FAM
0 - 2
EST
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
SNI
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
RCA
4 - 0
EST
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
EST
3 - 5
BRI
44%
24%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |