Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
9º
7º
13
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 76 |
1º
|
84.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 60 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 59 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 58 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 54 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 53 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 50 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 36 |
8º
|
56.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 30 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 21 |
10º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
41% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
59% | 97% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LON
0 - 3
BRW
36%
25%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
BRW
3 - 0
ATH
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
FIN
2 - 0
BRW
52%
25%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BRW
2 - 2
COB
32%
25%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
BRW
1 - 1
LON
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Treaty United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 0
KEF
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
WEX
3 - 2
TRE
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
TRE
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 1
FIN
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 0
CAO
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |