First Division Temporada Regular. Jor. 4

Bray Wanderers vs Longford Town analysis

Bray Wanderers Longford Town
45 ELO 50
1.9% Tilt -1.7%
3815º General ELO ranking 4294º
19º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
32.3%
Bray Wanderers
25.3%
Draw
42.4%
Longford Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
Bray Wanderers
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.4%
Win probability
Longford Town
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bray Wanderers
+9%
-39%
Longford Town

Points and table prediction

Bray Wanderers
Their league position
Longford Town
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
40
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Galway United
94
94
100%
Waterford United
69
69
100%
Cobh Ramblers
59
59
100%
Wexford Youths
53
53
100%
Athlone Town
47
47
100%
Treaty United
44
44
100%
Bray Wanderers
44
44
100%
Longford Town
40
40
100%
Finn Harps
37
37
100%
Kerry FC
10º
10
10
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bray Wanderers
Longford Town
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Bray Wanderers
Longford Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2023
FIN
Finn Harps
1 - 1
Bray Wanderers
BRW
61%
21%
18%
45 50 5 0
24 Feb. 2023
BRW
Bray Wanderers
3 - 1
Kerry FC
KEF
93%
5%
1%
45 6 39 0
17 Feb. 2023
TRE
Treaty United
0 - 1
Bray Wanderers
BRW
64%
21%
15%
44 53 9 +1
12 Feb. 2023
NOB
New Oak Boys
0 - 3
Bray Wanderers
BRW
8%
13%
80%
43 7 36 +1
04 Feb. 2023
SHE
Shelbourne
1 - 0
Bray Wanderers
BRW
78%
15%
8%
43 63 20 0

Matches

Longford Town
Longford Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2023
LON
Longford Town
0 - 0
Cobh Ramblers
COB
70%
18%
12%
51 42 9 0
24 Feb. 2023
WAT
Waterford United
1 - 1
Longford Town
LON
75%
16%
8%
50 66 16 +1
21 Feb. 2023
CRU
Crumlin United
2 - 2
Longford Town
LON
11%
15%
74%
50 32 18 0
18 Feb. 2023
LON
Longford Town
1 - 3
Athlone Town
ATH
66%
19%
15%
51 44 7 -1
11 Feb. 2023
BOH
Bohemians 1905
1 - 0
Longford Town
LON
77%
15%
7%
51 72 21 0
X