Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
4º
3º
31
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 81 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 70 |
2º
|
74% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 67 |
3º
|
72.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 57 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 42 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
8º
|
41% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 24 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 19.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 80.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2025 |
BRW
1 - 2
WEX
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
BRW
3 - 1
ATH
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
DUN
2 - 2
BRW
73%
19%
9%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
COB
2 - 1
BRW
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
BRW
4 - 2
KEF
67%
20%
14%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2025 |
FIN
1 - 2
UCD
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
LON
0 - 0
FIN
33%
26%
42%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
FIN
0 - 2
ATH
38%
26%
37%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
FIN
0 - 2
TRE
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
COB
3 - 1
FIN
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |