First Division Jor. 28

Bray Wanderers vs Athlone Town analysis

Bray Wanderers Athlone Town
60 ELO 44
12.7% Tilt 3.3%
3694º General ELO ranking 3637º
19º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
66.6%
Bray Wanderers
19%
Draw
14.4%
Athlone Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
Bray Wanderers
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.4%
Win probability
Athlone Town
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bray Wanderers
+20%
+8%
Athlone Town

ELO progression

Bray Wanderers
Athlone Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2004
BRW
Bray Wanderers
0 - 0
Kildare County
KIL
61%
21%
18%
60 57 3 0
02 Oct. 2004
KIL
Kilkenny City
0 - 1
Bray Wanderers
BRW
23%
26%
51%
60 37 23 0
24 Sep. 2004
BRW
Bray Wanderers
2 - 0
Sligo Rovers
SLR
67%
19%
14%
59 47 12 +1
17 Sep. 2004
COB
Cobh Ramblers
1 - 2
Bray Wanderers
BRW
31%
26%
43%
59 44 15 0
03 Sep. 2004
BRW
Bray Wanderers
2 - 2
UC Dublin
UCD
54%
25%
21%
58 62 4 +1

Matches

Athlone Town
Athlone Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2004
ATH
Athlone Town
1 - 1
Limerick
LIM
59%
23%
18%
44 38 6 0
02 Oct. 2004
SLR
Sligo Rovers
1 - 2
Athlone Town
ATH
56%
23%
21%
43 46 3 +1
24 Sep. 2004
ATH
Athlone Town
2 - 1
Kilkenny City
KIL
56%
24%
20%
43 38 5 0
17 Sep. 2004
UCD
UC Dublin
3 - 0
Athlone Town
ATH
60%
23%
18%
43 62 19 0
13 Sep. 2004
ATH
Athlone Town
0 - 3
Longford Town
LON
21%
26%
54%
43 63 20 0
X