Copa Nicaragua . 1/16
Global 4-4
Primavera vs Chinandega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
73.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 3
BRP
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
DEP
3 - 0
BRP
77%
15%
8%
|
15 | 56 | 41 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
BRP
2 - 0
DEP
8%
14%
78%
|
13 | 56 | 43 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
CFC
1 - 0
BRP
83%
11%
6%
|
13 | 53 | 40 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
BRP
1 - 2
CFC
7%
13%
80%
|
13 | 53 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Chinandega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 3
BRP
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 15 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
CFC
0 - 3
JUV
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
JUV
4 - 0
CFC
60%
20%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
CFC
3 - 3
CDS
40%
22%
38%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
CDS
2 - 0
CFC
42%
22%
36%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |