Brasilis vs Itapirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
64.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasilis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
BFC
0 - 0
IND
15%
19%
67%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ECN
1 - 1
BFC
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
ECN
1 - 1
BFC
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
BFC
1 - 4
COM
9%
18%
73%
|
17 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
BFC
2 - 1
GDS
42%
22%
37%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
JFC
1 - 1
ITA
11%
17%
72%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 0
UNI
41%
27%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
COM
4 - 0
ITA
65%
22%
13%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 0
BAN
59%
23%
19%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 2
PAU
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |