Brasiliense vs Paranoá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
BRA
1 - 3
ATM
24%
23%
54%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
BRA
0 - 0
GAM
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 2
BRA
9%
18%
73%
|
66 | 33 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
GUA
2 - 2
BRA
10%
18%
73%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
BRA
4 - 0
SAN
87%
10%
3%
|
67 | 25 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Paranoá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
CFZ
4 - 1
PAR
29%
23%
48%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 0
BAN
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 5 | 40 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 1
DOM
46%
23%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
SOB
1 - 3
PAR
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
PAR
0 - 3
CEI
43%
23%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |