Brasiliense vs Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 0
AGU
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BDF
1 - 1
BRA
18%
21%
61%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 1
BRA
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
GAM
1 - 2
BRA
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 0
CFZ
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
BRA
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
BDF
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CEI
2 - 2
FOR
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
CEI
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
CFZ
0 - 2
FOR
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |