Brasiliense Fase Final. Final
Global 3-2
Brasiliense vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
CEI
0 - 1
BRA
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 1
CAP
65%
19%
16%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 0
GAM
72%
18%
11%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
GAM
0 - 4
BRA
22%
24%
54%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
GLO
1 - 1
BRA
22%
24%
54%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
CEI
0 - 1
BRA
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
GAM
0 - 1
CEI
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
CEI
2 - 1
CAP
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 2
CEI
35%
24%
42%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
CEI
1 - 0
GAM
51%
24%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |