Brasiliense vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 2
TAG
14%
18%
68%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CDF
0 - 1
BRA
11%
19%
70%
|
52 | 15 | 37 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BRA
5 - 2
SAN
76%
17%
7%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GAM
0 - 1
BRA
48%
27%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 2
GAM
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CEI
1 - 1
PLA
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 5 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
CEI
16%
21%
63%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CEI
3 - 0
CDF
78%
15%
8%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
CEI
1 - 1
LUZ
51%
27%
23%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LUZ
2 - 1
CEI
35%
27%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |