Brasiliense vs Capital Brasilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
CFZ
0 - 6
BRA
10%
18%
73%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
BRA
2 - 1
GAM
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
PPE
3 - 1
BRA
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
BRA
0 - 2
FFL
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
BRA
1 - 0
SAN
20%
21%
58%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Capital Brasilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
GAM
2 - 1
CAP
81%
12%
7%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |