Brasília vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
VNG
3 - 1
BRA
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1985 |
BRA
1 - 1
COR
62%
22%
15%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
UBE
1 - 2
BRA
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1985 |
PPE
1 - 1
BRA
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1985 |
PIN
1 - 0
BRA
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1985 |
ADL
1 - 0
VIL
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1985 |
VIL
0 - 2
UBE
55%
24%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
VNG
1 - 0
VIL
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1985 |
JEC
1 - 2
VIL
63%
23%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
BRA
0 - 0
VIL
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |