Brasília vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
59.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
BRA
0 - 2
OPE
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
FER
3 - 1
BRA
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1983 |
BOT
3 - 0
BRA
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1983 |
BRA
0 - 0
COL
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1983 |
BRA
1 - 2
SCI
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1984 |
FLA
1 - 0
PAL
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
FLA
1 - 3
GRE
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1983 |
FLA
5 - 2
BOL
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1983 |
FLA
3 - 0
SAN
69%
19%
13%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1983 |
SAN
2 - 1
FLA
42%
26%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |