Brasiliense . Final
Global 0-4
Brasília vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAR
69%
18%
12%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LUZ
1 - 2
BRA
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
BDF
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
SOB
2 - 4
BRA
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 1
LEG
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
CEI
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEI
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
GAM
1 - 1
BRA
31%
26%
44%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAP
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BSE
0 - 2
BRA
15%
20%
66%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | +1 |