Sudamericano U20 Group B Round 2

Brasil U20 vs Uruguay U20 analysis

Brasil U20 Uruguay U20
85 ELO 73
0.6% Tilt 1.8%
500º General ELO ranking 1315º
34º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
71.1%
Brasil U20
17.8%
Draw
11.1%
Uruguay U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
Brasil U20
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.1%
Win probability
Uruguay U20
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brasil U20
-1%
-14%
Uruguay U20

ELO progression

Brasil U20
Uruguay U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brasil U20
Brasil U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jan. 2015
BRA
Brasil U20
2 - 1
Chile U20
CHI
74%
17%
10%
85 68 17 0
16 Aug. 2014
BRA
Brasil U20
4 - 0
China U20
CHN
88%
9%
3%
85 65 20 0
14 Aug. 2014
BRA
Brasil U20
0 - 0
Ecuador U20
ECU
83%
13%
5%
86 56 30 -1
12 Aug. 2014
BRA
Brasil U20
1 - 1
Catar U20
QAT
88%
9%
2%
86 41 45 0
15 Jun. 2013
BRA
Brasil U20
4 - 3
Ghana U20
GHA
86%
10%
4%
86 70 16 0

Matches

Uruguay U20
Uruguay U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jan. 2015
URU
Uruguay U20
1 - 0
Colombia U20
COL
44%
25%
31%
71 71 0 0
30 Nov. 2014
URU
Uruguay U20
5 - 3
Panamá U20
PAN
71%
18%
12%
71 56 15 0
28 Nov. 2014
PAN
Panamá U20
0 - 2
Uruguay U20
URU
20%
21%
59%
71 57 14 0
26 Nov. 2014
PAR
Paraguay U20
0 - 1
Uruguay U20
URU
44%
26%
30%
70 71 1 +1
24 Nov. 2014
PER
Perú U20
3 - 1
Uruguay U20
URU
22%
24%
54%
71 59 12 -1