Brazil U20s vs Mexico U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 1
MEX
71%
18%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
COL
0 - 0
BRA
23%
24%
53%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 2
ARG
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
VEN
77%
16%
8%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
URY
2 - 1
BRA
27%
25%
49%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Mexico U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 1
MEX
71%
18%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
MEX
0 - 1
ENG
58%
22%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
MEX
1 - 0
SEN
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
MEX
0 - 1
VEN
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2017 |
MEX
0 - 0
DEU
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |