Brasil de Pelotas vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
46.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
CAX
1 - 0
BRA
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 0
CRI
22%
25%
53%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
BRA
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 0
NOV
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAX
58%
24%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
CAX
1 - 0
BRA
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
CAX
1 - 0
CRI
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +3 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAX
33%
29%
38%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SCI
8 - 1
CAX
80%
15%
5%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |