Conmebol Sudamericana . Semi-finals
Global 5-1
RB Bragantino vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 1
BRA
39%
26%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 2
CHA
73%
18%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
AMF
0 - 2
BRA
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
CEN
65%
21%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
RPA
0 - 1
LIB
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
LIB
0 - 3
OLI
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
ATJ
0 - 2
LIB
2%
5%
93%
|
79 | 19 | 60 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
LIB
5 - 0
LQE
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 2
LIB
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |