Olímpia FC vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
52%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olímpia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
RIO
2 - 1
OLI
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 1
CAP
26%
25%
50%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
DES
0 - 0
OLI
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
NOR
23%
26%
51%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
BER
1 - 0
OLI
60%
22%
19%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
COM
3 - 1
BAN
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 1
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
COM
2 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
DES
1 - 2
COM
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 3
COM
40%
26%
33%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |