Boyacá Chicó vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
40.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
SFE
4 - 3
CHI
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
PAT
2 - 1
CHI
28%
25%
46%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 1
HUI
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 1
REA
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CUC
0 - 1
CHI
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2013 |
IND
2 - 0
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
ONC
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
ENV
3 - 0
NAC
22%
26%
52%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 0
JAG
84%
11%
5%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 2
IND
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |