Bourges 18 vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
FCM
4 - 2
BOU
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1993 |
BOU
5 - 2
VAL
49%
27%
24%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 1993 |
REN
1 - 1
BOU
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
BOU
1 - 1
NIO
35%
29%
36%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1993 |
VAL
2 - 1
BOU
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCG
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1993 |
STL
0 - 0
BAS
56%
25%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1993 |
BAS
0 - 1
ASB
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
CHA
3 - 0
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 1993 |
BAS
2 - 0
STA
65%
21%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |