Botswana vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
MWI
1 - 1
BOT
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 0
ZIM
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 0
CHA
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
TUN
0 - 1
BOT
73%
19%
8%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
BOT
0 - 0
ZAM
21%
25%
55%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
KSA
1 - 0
TOG
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2010 |
TOG
1 - 1
MWI
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 2
TOG
19%
22%
59%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
GAB
3 - 0
TOG
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
YEM
2 - 1
TOG
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -2 |