Botswana vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
53%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
TUN
4 - 1
BOT
90%
8%
2%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2004 |
MOZ
0 - 0
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
NAM
0 - 0
BOT
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
LSO
0 - 0
BOT
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
BOT
0 - 2
ZIM
24%
27%
50%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MWI
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
MWI
1 - 1
MAR
25%
30%
45%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
ZAM
0 - 2
MWI
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
MWI
0 - 0
ETH
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
ETH
1 - 3
MWI
43%
26%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |