Botev Vratsa vs Hebar Pazardzhik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
6º
6º
32
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 10 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 8 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
OFK
2 - 0
BVR
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
BVR
2 - 0
BER
31%
29%
40%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BVR
1 - 1
SVA
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
CSK
5 - 1
BVR
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
BVR
2 - 1
LSO
30%
29%
41%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
HEB
3 - 1
SEP
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
SVA
2 - 1
HEB
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
OFK
2 - 1
HEB
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
BER
0 - 2
HEB
60%
23%
16%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
HEB
0 - 4
CSK
17%
27%
56%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |