V AFG Sureste. Jor. 25

Botev Plovdiv II vs Karnobat analysis

Botev Plovdiv II Karnobat
42 ELO 25
10.6% Tilt -10.4%
5708º General ELO ranking 10206º
55º Country ELO ranking 91º
ELO win probability
81.1%
Botev Plovdiv II
12.1%
Draw
6.8%
Karnobat

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
Botev Plovdiv II
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.8%
Win probability
Karnobat
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Botev Plovdiv II
+18%
-29%
Karnobat

Points and table prediction

Botev Plovdiv II
Their league position
Karnobat
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
18º
34
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Nesebar
92
95
96%
Spartak Plovdiv
90
93
37%
Sayana Haskovo
90
91
34%
Gigant Saedinenie
71
71
77.5%
Zagorets
69
69
77.5%
Dimitrovgrad
67
67
100%
Botev Plovdiv II
61
62
100%
Atletik Kuklen
58
58
55.5%
Rozova dolina
56
57
55.5%
Rodopa Smolyan
10º
51
51
10º
100%
Asenovets
11º
48
48
11º
100%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
12º
47
47
12º
100%
Sozopol
13º
46
46
13º
100%
FK Sekirovo
14º
37
38
14º
55%
Levski Karlovo
15º
35
38
15º
47%
Yambol 1915
16º
34
35
16º
32%
Karnobat
17º
34
34
17º
55.5%
 FK Sliven
18º
30
31
18º
95%
Sokol Markovo
19º
27
27
19º
95%
Beroe Stara Zagora II
20º
20
20
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Botev Plovdiv II
Karnobat
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Botev Plovdiv II
Karnobat
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Botev Plovdiv II
Botev Plovdiv II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2024
AKU
Atletik Kuklen
1 - 4
Botev Plovdiv II
BPL
28%
27%
45%
41 33 8 0
09 Mar. 2024
BPL
Botev Plovdiv II
3 - 5
Levski Karlovo
LEV
68%
18%
14%
42 32 10 -1
03 Mar. 2024
BPL
Botev Plovdiv II
5 - 0
Rodopa Smolyan
ROD
61%
21%
18%
42 35 7 0
24 Feb. 2024
SKM
Sokol Markovo
0 - 2
Botev Plovdiv II
BPL
23%
21%
56%
42 22 20 0
18 Feb. 2024
BPL
Botev Plovdiv II
1 - 3
Nesebar
NES
31%
24%
45%
43 51 8 -1

Matches

Karnobat
Karnobat
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2024
KAR
Karnobat
2 - 1
Rodopa Smolyan
ROD
27%
23%
49%
25 33 8 0
09 Mar. 2024
SKM
Sokol Markovo
1 - 0
Karnobat
KAR
33%
23%
45%
26 20 6 -1
02 Mar. 2024
KAR
Karnobat
0 - 1
Nesebar
NES
8%
18%
74%
27 51 24 -1
24 Feb. 2024
SAY
Sayana Haskovo
4 - 0
Karnobat
KAR
69%
17%
14%
28 40 12 -1
17 Feb. 2024
KAR
Karnobat
5 - 2
Beroe Stara Zagora II
BSZ
62%
19%
19%
28 20 8 0
X