Botev Ihtiman vs Hebar Pazardzhik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
73.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Ihtiman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
FKM
3 - 2
BOT
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 1
PIR
16%
21%
63%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PIR
2 - 0
BOT
52%
21%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
4 - 0
BOT
81%
14%
6%
|
23 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 2
BEL
47%
25%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
HEB
1 - 3
CHA
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
HEB
2 - 1
GER
87%
10%
3%
|
52 | 17 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
HEB
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
HEB
2 - 0
SVO
86%
11%
4%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
STR
1 - 0
HEB
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |