Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1978 |
FLA
1 - 1
BOT
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1978 |
COR
1 - 0
BOT
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
BOT
3 - 0
OPE
57%
21%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
BOT
2 - 0
AME
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
SAO
6 - 2
BOT
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1978 |
FLA
0 - 0
SPO
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
SPO
0 - 0
COM
64%
23%
13%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1978 |
SPO
2 - 0
ARN
52%
27%
22%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
SPO
2 - 0
UBE
63%
23%
14%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
SPO
0 - 0
ATM
20%
27%
53%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |