Série D Brazil . Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Botafogo SP vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 0
BOT
22%
27%
51%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 0
CRA
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 0
GAM
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 0
BOT
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 1
DUQ
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 1
COR
67%
20%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
COR
0 - 3
SAO
30%
27%
44%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LAJ
1 - 1
SAO
37%
28%
36%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SAO
3 - 0
VOL
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
FOZ
0 - 3
SAO
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |