Botafogo SP vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MIR
4 - 3
BOT
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
BOT
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 0
COR
25%
29%
46%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 1
GUA
37%
25%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 2
BOT
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
OES
2 - 0
PEN
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 1
ATL
46%
25%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 1
UNI
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
PPE
2 - 0
PEN
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
XVD
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |