Paulista A1 Temporada Regular. Jor. 3

Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino analysis

Botafogo SP Novorizontino
61 ELO 59
-3.5% Tilt -21.6%
1165º General ELO ranking 352º
44º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
35.6%
Botafogo SP
22.7%
Draw
41.7%
Novorizontino

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
Botafogo SP
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
41.7%
Win probability
Novorizontino
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Botafogo SP
-8%
+4%
Novorizontino

ELO progression

Botafogo SP
Novorizontino
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Botafogo SP
Botafogo SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2018
BOT
Botafogo SP
0 - 1
Palmeiras
PAL
16%
23%
62%
60 85 25 0
18 Jan. 2018
BRA
RB Bragantino
2 - 0
Botafogo SP
BOT
36%
27%
37%
61 56 5 -1
09 Sep. 2017
BOT
Botafogo SP
5 - 3
Ypiranga FC
YPI
56%
25%
19%
60 55 5 +1
02 Sep. 2017
TOM
Tombense
2 - 1
Botafogo SP
BOT
41%
29%
30%
61 57 4 -1
26 Aug. 2017
BOT
Botafogo SP
1 - 1
Tupi
TUP
54%
26%
20%
61 57 4 0

Matches

Novorizontino
Novorizontino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2018
SAO
São Paulo
0 - 0
Novorizontino
NOV
80%
13%
7%
59 78 19 0
17 Jan. 2018
NOV
Novorizontino
3 - 1
Mirassol
MIR
41%
23%
36%
58 57 1 +1
30 Dec. 2017
NOV
Novorizontino
2 - 2
Rio Preto
RIO
56%
22%
22%
58 51 7 0
08 Apr. 2017
PAL
Palmeiras
3 - 0
Novorizontino
NOV
90%
7%
2%
59 85 26 -1
03 Apr. 2017
NOV
Novorizontino
1 - 3
Palmeiras
PAL
12%
19%
69%
59 84 25 0
X