Botafogo SP vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
POR
0 - 5
BOT
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
BOA
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
YPI
2 - 1
BOT
38%
30%
33%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
MOG
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
CAP
44%
25%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
YPI
3 - 2
GUA
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
MOG
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 5
JUV
19%
26%
55%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
GUA
4 - 0
GUA
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 3
OLI
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |