Botafogo SP vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
GAM
5 - 0
BOT
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
BOT
0 - 2
PAR
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
SPO
1 - 2
BOT
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2001 |
BOT
2 - 0
VIT
37%
26%
38%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
FFL
3 - 3
CRI
47%
25%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
UNI
2 - 1
FFL
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2001 |
SER
3 - 1
FFL
23%
25%
53%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
FFL
2 - 1
LON
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2001 |
FFL
3 - 1
VIL
63%
20%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |