Botafogo vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
FLU
0 - 0
BOT
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
BOT
0 - 0
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOT
18%
25%
58%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLA
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
COR
1 - 1
BOT
53%
24%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 1
CEA
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 0
GRÊ
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
GOI
1 - 0
VIT
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 0
VIT
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 3
GRE
34%
26%
41%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |