Botafogo vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOT
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 0
BRA
66%
22%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
OPE
1 - 0
BOT
41%
28%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 0
PPE
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 0
VAS
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
VIT
32%
29%
39%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
LON
1 - 0
VIL
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 0
VIL
68%
22%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 2
SAM
36%
30%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 4
VIL
56%
26%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |