Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2009 |
TIG
2 - 3
BOT
9%
17%
75%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
DOM
0 - 2
BOT
10%
18%
72%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
RES
0 - 3
BOT
11%
18%
71%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
FLU
0 - 1
BOT
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
VAS
3 - 0
FRI
87%
10%
3%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 4
VAS
8%
16%
77%
|
80 | 33 | 47 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MAD
0 - 3
VAS
9%
17%
74%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
VAS
0 - 0
CAB
85%
11%
4%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
FLU
0 - 0
VAS
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |