Botafogo vs Portuguesa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
16.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
21.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.2%
+2
25%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
23%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
<0%
0
12.1%
2.3%
Win probability
0.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOT
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 1
MAD
86%
12%
2%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
VOL
1 - 0
BOT
13%
21%
67%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
BOT
3 - 0
CUI
75%
18%
7%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 1
VAS
48%
27%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
BAN
3 - 0
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
BOA
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
POR
1 - 3
FLA
7%
20%
73%
|
46 | 86 | 40 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CAB
2 - 0
POR
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
VOL
1 - 0
POR
53%
23%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |