Botafogo vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.3%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.3%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 3
BOT
11%
18%
72%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
BOT
2 - 1
PAL
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ATP
2 - 0
BOT
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
BOT
3 - 2
SAO
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
GRÊ
3 - 0
BOT
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
FRI
0 - 0
RES
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
FRI
0 - 0
PAU
29%
27%
43%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
MAD
1 - 2
FRI
44%
26%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
FRI
0 - 1
TUP
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
TUP
2 - 1
FRI
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |