Botafogo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2000 |
BOT
2 - 1
OLA
84%
12%
5%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2000 |
PAL
3 - 1
BOT
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
FLU
2 - 0
BOT
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
BAN
0 - 3
BOT
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
BOT
0 - 0
PAL
33%
27%
41%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
FLA
1 - 0
VOL
89%
9%
3%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
MAD
0 - 4
FLA
6%
17%
78%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2000 |
RIV
1 - 1
FLA
11%
20%
69%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
FLA
5 - 0
AME
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
FLA
4 - 1
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |