Botafogo vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
25.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
BOT
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 2
GOI
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 1
BOT
29%
28%
43%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
BOT
3 - 3
CRZ
39%
29%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
CRB
2 - 1
BOT
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 1
VIT
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 2
VAS
32%
28%
39%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
OPE
0 - 2
CSA
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 1
GOI
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 3
CSA
36%
29%
36%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |