Carioca 1 Guanabara Cup Round 8

Botafogo vs Bangu analysis

Botafogo Bangu
82 ELO 50
-5.8% Tilt -12.2%
167º General ELO ranking 5754º
24º Country ELO ranking 208º
ELO win probability
84.1%
Botafogo
12.2%
Draw
3.7%
Bangu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
Botafogo
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
18%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.2%
3.7%
Win probability
Bangu
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Botafogo
+17%
+43%
Bangu

ELO progression

Botafogo
Bangu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Botafogo
Botafogo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2023
BOA
Boavista SC
0 - 4
Botafogo
BOT
8%
20%
72%
82 49 33 0
01 Feb. 2023
BOT
Botafogo
0 - 0
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
82%
13%
5%
82 54 28 0
29 Jan. 2023
FLU
Fluminense
0 - 1
Botafogo
BOT
69%
19%
12%
82 88 6 0
26 Jan. 2023
BOT
Botafogo
2 - 0
Madureira RJ
MAD
86%
11%
3%
82 48 34 0
19 Jan. 2023
VOL
Volta Redonda
1 - 2
Botafogo
BOT
19%
24%
57%
81 62 19 +1

Matches

Bangu
Bangu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2023
BAN
Bangu
1 - 0
Madureira RJ
MAD
42%
27%
31%
49 49 0 0
01 Feb. 2023
AUD
Audax Rio
0 - 0
Bangu
BAN
41%
26%
33%
49 49 0 0
29 Jan. 2023
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
1 - 0
Bangu
BAN
50%
26%
25%
50 54 4 -1
25 Jan. 2023
BAN
Bangu
1 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
5%
16%
79%
49 87 38 +1
22 Jan. 2023
POR
Portuguesa RJ
0 - 1
Bangu
BAN
64%
22%
15%
48 59 11 +1