Botafogo vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2005 |
GOI
4 - 0
BOT
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
BOT
2 - 1
ATM
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
BOT
3 - 1
COR
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
SCI
0 - 2
BOT
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
BOT
2 - 2
PAU
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2005 |
CCP
2 - 1
ATP
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
ATP
1 - 3
SCI
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
ATP
2 - 1
CCP
63%
22%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
ATP
1 - 2
COR
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
ATP
0 - 4
IND
67%
19%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |